IN-PERSON CLASSROOM SEMINARS

View PGS Client List
CANCELED Evaluating Credit Risk in Power and Gas Companies--In Partnership with SNL Energy


A Two-Day Classroom Seminar (CPE Approved)

Register Soon to get Early Bird Pricing.
Get real-world credit risk insight and skills

The standard perception of utilities as a "safe" investment can no longer be assumed. Threats to the standard business model, like distributed generation, have led to credit ratings downgrades. Changes like these need to be monitored and the implications understood. Only armed with the proper insight and skills can you mitigate risk, or take advantage of potential upside in a transaction.

This program uses real-world scenarios and case studies to provide a thorough overview of the credit risk analysis process as applied to power and gas companies. Whether you're working inside the industry, or covering it from the outside as a regulator, investor or credit analyst, you'll get the perspective and techniques you need to optimize your approach.

What You Will Learn
  • Gain insight into how credit risk impacts investor motivations, so you can mitigate that risk, resulting in lower borrowing costs
  • Understand how credit risk affects funding and liquidity costs, providing you with the foresight to minimize this expense
  • Get the understanding and tools you need to avoid issues with declining counterparty credit, write-offs and unhedged exposures
  • Learn to recognize the warning signs of declining credit quality, allowing you to make quicker decisions and minimize the impact on your portfolio's value
  • Gain perspective (as a lender to the sector) to help avoid loan losses and write-downs, as well as higher capital assessments on assets
What You Will Also Learn
  • Understanding how corporate structure affects credit-worthiness
  • How to interpret utilities' four sets of accounting books so that you can accurately assess the credit quality of a utility
  • Performing financial ratio analysis to minimize credit risk exposure - what ratios work in this sector and what ratios to avoid
  • Understanding utility regulation and rate orders that affect companies' business prospects in order to form a confident opinion of credit effects
  • Knowing the statistical basis of credit ratings in order to be able to optimize your own ratings
  • Integrating market-derived alternative ratings into your credit view in order to more accurately price your debt offerings
  • Decoding disclosures about derivatives and hedging in order to identify those risks and factor them into your credit view
  • The vital lending skill of enterprise valuation - evaluating the prospects of the firm to incorporate into your credit view
  • How to evaluate liquidity and its relationship to solvency
  • Understand the structure of lending and bond agreements and the most common terms and covenants in secured and unsecured financing
  • How the cycles of market sentiment can increase your borrowing costs
  • What we learn from past bankruptcies in the sector and what to avoid in the future
  • Learn about the unique features of bankruptcy and recovery in this sector
  • Warning signals of evolving credit problems
Seminar Agenda
Untitled Document

Day One

7:30 am

Registration and Continental Breakfast Open

All sessions taught by Ellen Lapson, CFA, unless otherwise noted

8:15 am

Program begins

Welcome and Introductions

Overview of Credit Risk Analysis in Power and Gas Companies; Economic and Regulatory Framework

  • How credit analysis is used
  • The role of credit agencies and the implications of their actions
  • Statistical basis of ratings (probability of default and Loss Given Default)
  • Alternatives to traditional ratings

Financial Statement Techniques for Credit Risk Analysis

  • The importance of sustainable cash flow; cash flow measures of leverage
  • Key drivers of cash flow for utilities and non-utility energy providers
  • Commodity price sensitivity and its effects on the financial statements
  • The relationship between regulatory accounting and financial accounting
  • GAAP earnings versus free cash flow
  • Implications of positive or negative free cash flow in the sectors

Break

Credit Implications of Corporate Structure

  • Mini-Cases: The corporate structure, capitalization and business profiles of an electric utility, an independent power producer, and a holding company

The Structure of Corporate Bonds and Bank Agreements (Case Study)

  • Ownership structure of the utility and its relationship to credit
  • Capital structure and major types of debt
  • Holding company groups and parent/subsidiary relationships

Lunch

SNL Presentation on SNL Data solutions for Credit Analysis 

Evaluating Credit Risk of Counterparties

  • Sources of counterparty exposure in normal commercial transactions
  • Measuring counterparty exposures
  • Calculating expected losses
  • Setting limits on unsecured exposures
  • The environment of counterparty credit management

Break

Energy Trading Risk and Derivatives Exposure

  • Overview of how hedging is used
  • Risks in energy trading 
  • Interpreting derivatives disclosures

Liquidity Analysis

  • Sources of internal and external liquidity
  • Capital expenditures, internal and external funding sources
  • Commodity exposure, energy trading markets and liquidity

5:00 pm

Day One concludes

Day Two  

8:00 am

Continental Breakfast Opens

8:15 am

Program begins

Review of Day One

Financial Analysis: Ratio Analysis (Case Study); Valuation Approaches

  • Best practices in use of financial ratios in the power and gas sector
  • Peer company analysis
  • Case Study: Analyzing credit ratios, comparing ratios against comparable peers and rating agency target ratios

Qualitative Analysis/Management Strategy and Experience

  • Consideration of different factors affecting outlook for a regulated and competitive entities
  • Evaluation of management effectiveness
  • Effect of other business related functions on outlook

Break

Insolvency, Bankruptcy, and Recovery

  • Insolvency and consequences
  • The primary drivers of bankruptcy and insolvency in the sectors
  • The bankruptcy and reorganization process
  • Recovery experience and recovery analysis for utilities and gencos
  • Case Study: Bankruptcies and reorganizations of a utility and a competitive generator; contrasting methods of bankruptcy valuation and recovery by creditors

Warning Signals; Developing Your Own Forward Credit View

  • Regulated utilities
  • GenCos and non-regulated energy providers
  • Holding companies
  • Symptoms of deteriorating credit standing: financial, non-financial and market indicators

Sector Outlook, Conclusions, Group Exercise and Discussion

  • Consolidating multiple analyses to develop a comprehensive assessment of an institution's creditworthiness
  • Combining the qualitative and quantitative analysis for a credit analysis
  • Quantitative and market-based alternatives for credit ratings
  • The credit implications of emerging issues
  • Group Exercise: Students will use what has been learned during the course to develop a credit view of a real case company.

12:30 pm

Program concludes

Hotel and Seminar Information
This two-day seminar will be held at the hotel listed below. The seminar will start promptly at 8:15 AM and will finish at 5:00 PM on the first day. On the second day, the seminar will resume at 8:15 AM and will finish at 12:30 PM. Your registration includes all conference materials and continental breakfast on both days, plus lunch on the first day. Dress is business casual.
COVID 19 Information: Please click here for the PGS Covid-19 policy. You can confirm each hotel's specific COVID 19 policy using the link(s) provided below.
Registration Fee and Discounts
The price for this comprehensive two-day seminar is $1,795 (USD).
Register online or Call (440) 853-1038.
  • Additional attendees and government employees receive a 10% discount.
  • Register 4 or more attendees and receive 20% Off. Special pricing is available for groups of 5 or more.
    If you want attendees to pay with separate credit cards or have other questions, please call (440) 853-1038 for assistance.
Payments and Cancellations
Payment is due prior to the start of the seminar by Visa, Master Card, American Express, or corporate check. Seminar fees will be charged to your credit card at the time of registration unless other arrangements have been made. Please make checks payable to "PGS Energy Training" 26 Teal Lane • Hilton Head Island, SC 29926. Cancellations will result in a credit that is good for 2 years which can be transferred to a colleague. Substitutions may be made at any time. For more information on PGS policies regarding administrative matters and complaint resolution, please contact our offices at (440) 853-1038.
CPE Credits in Specialized Knowledge

This live group seminar is eligible for 12.5 CPE credits. Be aware that state boards of accountancy have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. As of January 1, 2002, sponsored learning activities are measured by program length, with one 50-minute period equal to one CPE credit. One-half CPE credit increments (equal to 25 minutes) are permitted after the first credit has been earned in a given learning activity. You may want to verify that the state board from which your participants will be receiving credit accept one-half credits.

PGS Energy Training is registered with the National Association of State Boards of Accountancy (NASBA) as a sponsor of continuing professional education on the National Registry of CPE Sponsors. State boards of accountancy have final authority on the acceptance of individual courses for CPE credit. Complaints regarding registered sponsors may be submitted to the National Registry of CPE Sponsors through its website: www.nasbaregistry.org. CPAs interested in attending any seminars should contact our offices for details on CPE credits granted and any prerequisite requirements.
PGS Energy Training is registered with GARP as an Approved Provider of Continuing Professional Development (CPD) credits. If you are a Certified FRM or ERP, please record this activity in your Credit Tracker at http://www.garp.org/cpd. Please inform PGS Energy Training that you are a GARP CPE participant upon seminar registration.

The Global Association of Risk Professionals (GARP) is a not-for-profit membership association dedicated to preparing professionals and organizations for making better-informed risk decisions. GARP's membership represents more than 150,000 risk management practitioners and researchers at academic institutions, banks, corporations, government agencies, and investment management firms in 195 countries and territories. GARP administers the Financial Risk Manager (FRM) and Energy Risk Professional (ERP) Exams – certifications recognized by risk professionals worldwide. Visit www.garp.org/cpd.
Who Should Attend

Commercial and investment bankers; Fixed income traders; Buy-side asset managers; Credit analysts/Managers at energy merchants and marketers; Credit staff at a utility; Regulatory commission staff

Prerequisites and Advance Preparation

Evaluating Credit Risk presumes that participants are familiar with basic corporate accounting principles.

Why Choose PGS?

PGS in Partnership with SNL Energy seminars are known for their clear explanations and in-depth content. Register today, and join the energy professionals who have already attended one of these proven programs.

Program Level & Delivery Method
Basic level. This fundamental course begins with basic material and then proceeds to the intermediate level. Delivery method is "Group-Live.”